It is official. The stock market has gone negative for this year. After starting the year 2025 with a strong gathering, S&P 500, as followed by SPDR S & P 500 ETF TRUST NYSEARCA: Spy1.73 %, and Nasdaq-100, as follows Invesco QQq Nasdaq: qqq It decreased by 3.8 % from a year to the date (YTD) from February 28, 2025. The ratios were led by the collapse of the computer and technology sector, which is what Ishares US Technology ETF can be tracked Nysearca: IywWhich decreased 6.54 % YTD as of February 28, 2025.
If the seven wonderful stocks are thanks to the big gains in 2024, it may be credited to the way down, which can be tracked with Roundhill Wonderful seven etf Nasdak: Maj 10.22 % YTD decreased from February 28, 2025. However, standard indicators have reached the level of decisive support that investors should be aware of.
S&P 500 decreased by 6 % of its highest levels
The S&P 500 index is the standard “stock market” index, which represents the American stock market. The spy reached its climax at $ 613.23 on February 19, 2025, and began to decrease by 6.07 % in the next 12 days. On 11Y Today, the 200 -day moving average (light blue line) tested and tested at $ 573.08.
On February 1, 2023, a golden cross occurred when a 50 -day moving average (orange line) occurred during the 200 -day moving average. This represents the subsequent upper parking point that led to an increase of 46.6 % from 418.31 dollars to $ 613.23. During the gathering, the spy and bounce/near the moving average for 200 days were tested with firmness and fourth time on February 28, 2025.
The big question is whether it is customary that the moving average for 200 days is support and returns up or if the floor becomes resistant with its fall. If the moving average for 50 days crosses MA during the moving average for 200 days, it will form a collapse known as the death cross. This would represent the end of the upward trend and start the declining direction. This can be considered landmark; However, it is also necessary for the decline to be formed to allow the markets to rest before trying to go out again.
Correction or bear market? 551.91 dollars or 490.58 dollars will make what applies
The spy has decreased by 6 % of its highest levels. Correction is formed when the spy decreases by 10 % of its highest levels It will be 551.91 dollars. The bear market is formed when the spy decreases by 20 % or more than its highest levels It will be 490.58 dollars There is still for at least 60 days. This is when investors really start worrying about the sale of long market. If the spy is bounced on the moving average for 200 days, it will need to rise above the moving average for 50 days to resume the upper direction.
If the bounce increases to the moving average for 50 days and retracts the moving average for 200 days, then this is when the cross of death can be formed. Moving to Nasdaq 100.
It reflects Nasdaq-100 S & P 500, mostly
The QQQ spy chart reflects the largest part. However, the 200 -day moving average was tested only twice before the last test and wears it. This can be attributed to the exceptional power of the index that was moved by the wonderful seven arrows, leading to a rally led by the mutation of artificial intelligence (AI).
As the proverb says, “the more their number, the more difficult it is,” the less QQQ decreases by 8.8 % of a height of 540.81 dollars. The wonderful seven shares consist of the following with their performance from February 28, 2025:
The Golden Cross was formed on March 13, 2023, which led to the outbreak of a mass and the subsequent 79.6 % to the peak at $ 540.81 on February 19, 2025. In the footsteps, QQQ also tested its average for 200 days at 491.79 dollars, and also fell to $ 493.28.
Correction or bear market? 486.73 dollars or 432.65 dollars will make what applies
The question from here is whether the moving average for 200 days will remain on the ground and carry the support as QQQ bounces during the moving average for 50 days at 519.21 dollars to resume the upward trend. Or will QQQ down under the moving average for 200 days to correct 10 % to 486.73 dollars or sell 20 %, which leads to the bear market less than $ 432.65?
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